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WSA-ENLIL+Cone Model For 2.0 AU with Completion Time: 2022-12-24T18:18Z

Model Inputs:
2022-12-24T08:36:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=37.0, Lat.=-37.0, Speed=703.0, HalfAngle=32.0, Time21.5=2022-12-24T13:25Z

Model Outputs:
Earth Impact:
(Glancing Blow) Earth Shock Arrival Time = 2022-12-28T00:00Z (+- 7 hours)
Possible Kp index:
(kp)90=2
(kp)135=3
(kp)180=3

Other Location(s) Impact:
STEREO B with estimated shock arrival time 2022-12-27T20:00Z (Minor Impact)

Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20221224_132500_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20221224_132500_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20221224_132500_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20221224_132500_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_B.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20221224_132500_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20221224_132500_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_B.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20221224_132500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20221224_132500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20221224_132500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20221224_132500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20221224_132500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STB_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20221224_132500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20221224_132500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20221224_132500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20221224_132500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20221224_132500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif

Note :
The simulation returned a cursory glancing blow at Earth; any arrival detected in the near-Earth environment is expected to be weak.

Submitted on 2022-12-24T19:05Z by Chris Stubenrauch

A Notification with ID 20221224-AL-004 was sent on 2022-12-24T19:18Z


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